Expert Mohamed Kamal states his opinion on the Sino-American relationship and dispute and presents his predictions regarding the next phase of the dispute and where it will lead.
Here is his full statement:
"Certainly, the dispute between the United States and China will escalate dramatically over the next stage. This dispute has ancient roots represented in the trade war between the United States and China, which affected the movement of trade in the world and slowed the economic growth rates of the two countries and many other countries.
Part of this dispute is related to the plans adopted by China to develop advanced technologies. The United States and the western countries benefit from a comparative advantage in it, and the United States seeks to hinder Chinese progress in these areas. The new issue is the Coronavirus, which led to widening the gap between the United States and China in light of The United States accusing China of being responsible for the spread of this virus in the world and that China has been slow to inform other countries and the World Health Organization regarding this virus and its spread.
Now we find that many countries of the world, as a result of the trade war with China and as a result of the closure that resulted from the spread of the Coronavirus, began to transfer the so-called supply chains or production chains from China to other countries, and certainly this will have a major impact on the Chinese economy.
The Sino-American disagreement, too, will surely be an essential part of the upcoming American election battle. President Trump intends to use this issue, in order to cover up the failure to deal with the Coronavirus inside the United States, and also an opportunity to accuse the competing Democratic candidate Joe Biden of having flexible positions, perhaps sympathy for China, and Trump will seek to use that against him.
In short, we are entering a stage of escalation between the two countries that may lead to a new cold war that many countries of the world will suffer from."